Forecasting app

Interactive data demo
Univariate demand curves with honest baselines—not neural nets: resampled Holt-Winters by day/week/month only when seasonality is supportable; Plotly band with MAPE/MAE against naive; warnings and fallback reasons stay visible for operators validating the forecast.

Commercial fit

Shows the same transparency rules as storefront forecasting work—honest baselines when seasonality breaks, artefacts (CSV + JSON summaries) reviewers can replay, escalation to stronger ML milestones only via a new written scope—not silent model creep.

Reference overview

Univariate demand curves with honest baselines—not neural nets: resampled Holt-Winters by day/week/month only when seasonality is supportable; Plotly band with MAPE/MAE against naive; warnings and fallback reasons stay visible for operators validating the forecast.

Handoff notes

Sidebar-triggered run exports forecast CSV plus summary JSON. Bundled sample series and CLI smoke live in-repo; promo or holiday regressors stay out of scope with explicit naive fallback when fit is weak.

Repositories & demos

Public proof only—client deliverables stay under separate agreements.

Evidence idforecasting
Closest storefront packageForecasting & Structured Analysis Pack

Decision-ready tables and visuals from your sources: honest forecasts with visible limitations when data is thin, optional written commentary built only from summaries you clear—not row-level model dumps and not campaign management.

Stack & keywords
  • Streamlit
  • Holt-Winters
  • Plotly
  • Rolling backtest
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